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Sunday, November 22, 2020

The War of Covid-19

President Trump has repeatedly referred to U.S. attempts to battle the virus — as a “war” against an “invisible enemy.”


Trump labels himself ‘a wartime president’ combating coronavirus



The annualized rate of this virus is much higher than WWII for the USA

War and/or DiseaseYearsDeathsAnnualized
Flu 1918 Would be 2,146,491 todays population1918-19675,000337,500
HIV/AIDS1981-2020675,00017,308
World War II - Combat1941–45291,55783,302
War on Covid-19 - Deaths Through:Nov 20, 2020256,000341,333
American Civil War US Disease & Other1861–65250,000
War on Covid-19 - Deaths Through:Sep 22, 2020200,000
American Civil War Confederate Disease1861–65165,000
War on Covid-19 - Deaths Through:Jul 30, 2020150,000
World War I - All, disease, etc includes flu1917--18116,516
American Civil War US Combat1861–65111,000
War on Covid-19 - Deaths Through:May 27, 2020102,107
American Civil War Confederate Combat1861–6595,000
World War I - Disease mostly Spanish Flu1917--1863,114
Vietnam War - All - accidents, disease etc1955–7558,220
World War I - Combat1917–1853,402
Vietnam War - Combat1955–7547,424
War on Covid-19 - Deaths Through:Apr 18, 202037,175
Korean War1950–5333,686
American Revolutionary War1775–838,000
Iraq War2003–113,836
Polio19523,000
911Sep 11, 20012,977
War of 18121812–152,260
War in Afghanistan2001–present1,833
Mexican–American War1846–491,733
First Covid-19 Death in USFeb 29, 20201
Sources:
https://www.historynet.com/civil-war-casualties
https://www.history.com/topics/world-war-i/1918-flu-pandemic


The annualized figures are simply the total deaths divided by the years.  For the Covid-19 projection I took our current deaths that took place over 9 months, so 12 months would be the total. It is likely the death toll will be much higher because it appears that we have reached critical mass, with the rate of infections greatly increasing.  And our State by State City by City actions ensure that the nation's response will be ineffective.

                                                    Sad

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Trump: "Coronavirus numbers are looking much better, going down almost everywhere,” and cases are “coming way down."

When Trump made these claims in May, coronavirus cases were either increasing or plateauing in the majority of American states. Over the summer, the country saw a second surge even greater than its first in the spring.

Trump: "The pandemic is “fading away. It’s going to fade away."

Trump made this claim ahead of his rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma, when the country was still seeing at least 20,000 new daily cases and a second spike in infections was beginning.

Trump: “99%” of Covid-19 cases are "totally harmless."

The virus can still cause tremendous suffering if it doesn’t kill a patient, and the WHO has said that about 15 percent of Covid-19 cases can be severe, with 5 percent being critical. Fauci has rejected Trump’s claim, saying the evidence shows that the virus “can make you seriously ill” even if it doesn’t kill you.

Trump: "We now have the lowest Fatality (Mortality) Rate in the World."


The U.S. had neither the lowest mortality rate nor the lowest case-fatality rate when Trump made this claim. As of July 13, the case-fatality rate—the ratio of deaths to confirmed Covid-19 cases—was 4.1 percent, which placed the U.S. solidly in the middle of global rankings. At the time, it had the world’s ninth-worst mortality rate, with 41.33 deaths per 100,000 people, according to Johns Hopkins University



Trump: The U.S. has “among the lowest case-fatality rates of any major country anywhere in the world.”

When Trump said this, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Korea, and India all had lower case-fatality rates than the U.S., which sat in the middle of performance rankings among all nations and among the 20 countries hardest hit by the virus.


Trump: America is “rounding the corner” and “rounding the final turn” of the pandemic.


Trump made these claims before and after the country registered 200,000 coronavirus deaths. As the winter approaches, coronavirus cases are increasing in a slew of states in the Midwest and the South, and data suggest that a third national surge might happen in the coming weeks. Fauci and CDC Director Robert Redfield have also warned Americans about the winter, with Fauci highlighting the "need to hunker down and get through this fall and winter, because it’s not going to be easy."
More Trump Covid-19 claims

In March: "You have to be calm. It’ll go away."

In April: "I’m feeling good. I just don’t want to be doing -- somehow sitting in the Oval Office behind that beautiful resolute desk, the great resolute desk, I think wearing a face mask as I greet presidents, prime ministers, dictators, kings, queens, I don’t know, somehow I don’t see it for myself. I just don’t. Maybe I’ll change my mind."

In May: "When we have a lot of cases, I don't look at that as a bad thing, I look at that as, in a certain respect, as being a good thing,...Because it means our testing is much better. I view it as a badge of honor, really, it's a badge of honor."

In June: "Coronavirus deaths are way down. Mortality rate is one of the lowest in the World. Our Economy is roaring back and will NOT be shut down. “Embers” or flare ups will be put out, as necessary!"




 


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  New York Times Jan 6, 2022 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/covid-cases-deaths-tracker.html